Sorry, Syria – by Margaret Thatcher

Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya… it is no coincidence that these troubled nations lie in Orwell’s “Disputed Regions” in “Nineteen Eighty-Four”.  They are, inherently, Tribal Nations.  (Orwell understood this very well in “Nineteen Eighty-Four” hence his label and description about the wars that were undertaken there, this is, however, another post for another time.)

These tribes have been held together by the iron grip of Dictatorship and bound within unnatural borders, alien to the tribal communal thought process…it is, after all, easier to have one man representing one country seated at the dining table of the UN and not 50 babbling tribesmen.

So, we have established that the people of this entire region are culturally not defined by any nationality. They do, however define themselves by their religion.

So…  who do we have fighting in Syria?

On one side, we have The (Ba’athist) Syrian Government.  It’s never that simple though.

The government’s militia consists of government forces, Hezbollah (Hizb’Allah, the Party of Allah, has been funded by Syria and Iran. This Sh’ia organisation has been classified as a terrorist organisation by most of the Western world) and Iranian forces.

It has also been reported that after decades of covert support, North Korea has stepped into the ring, providing ground support, operational plans and logistics.

It is no secret that Russia has supported the Syrian government, indeed it has done for many, many years.  There are operational Russian military bases still within Syria.  It is no coincidence that Russia has increased its presence recently in this region.

On the other side we have, what David Cameron has described as “the legitimate spokespeople of the Syrian People”.  Here’s where the tribal problem crops up. The opposition is made up from many groups:

Muslim Brotherhood; Coalition of Secular and Democratic Syrians;Damascus Declaration; the Kurdish Democratic Front and the Movement of the Future; The Movement for Justice and Development in Syria; Syrian Democratic People’s Party;

Free Syrian Army; Free Syrian Navy; Al-Tawhid Brigade; Liwaa al-Umma.

Amongst others.  Worryingly, it is known that there are hundreds of British and other European Islamists who have flocked to the region to fight alongside the local Islamists. We have seen these actions previously in Afghanistan.

In addition to the Syrian Opposition we also have Kurdish Militia holding several strategic towns and cities within Syria.  These are not counted as part of opposition gains.

At the moment, the rebels are fighting one common enemy, the Government.  Should Assad retain power, which given recent strategic gains, and no external intervention looks likely, it will prove to be the stability that the region needs.  Should the balance swing by means of external intervention, this will lead to unrest and instability similar to what we saw and still see in Iraq, Libya et al.  The power vacuum that could open would enable one of the more organised and established groups within the opposition acceding to power.

David Cameron stated in Prime Ministers Questions on 12 June 2013 that whilst there are no plans to “arm” the opposition, we should provide help, transport and technical advice to the opposition with the aim of “(helping) to tip the balance (so) there is a greater chance of a political transition succeeding”.

Political transition.. the removal of the one party that has kept the country united on an international front.

It is right that we do not put boots on the ground and intervene militarily in this conflict.  If we in the West do this, the whole region, not least the country will react violently to the west.  If military peacekeeping is required, then it should be from other Arab states.

Either way, through military intervention or not, should the opposition come to power, we will be opening a whole new can of extremist worms.

In conclusion, what should happen is that international support should guard the borders, make sure it doesn’t spill over, and leave the country to decide its own future.

Sorry, Syria.

  • Brian

    Margaret Thatcher is my blogcrush

  • http://jazz606.wordpress.com/ jazz606

    WTF we can’t stay out of these conflicts is beyond me. Actually it’s not. It’s our endlessly meddling and interfering civil servants and politicians that are the problem.

  • http://gravatar.com/bwanamakubwa bwanamakubwa

    Why don’t we just sit on the side-lines in these regional conflicts and cheer them on?
    Let them all have a go at each other. That way they are all too busy to have a go at us.

  • http://www.anthemshrugs.co.uk Anthem

    I’m all for supplying them with guns though. Enough guns so everyone on both sides has one.

    That should solve a lot of problems.

  • johnpd

    The destabilising & depopulation wars the mad US Empire, with the full assistance of the UN & NATO attack dogs, in particular France & the UK, has engineered in the Middle East & North Africa is quite deliberate.

    Yes, deliberate depopulation wars.

    April saw 712 deaths & over 1600 wounded in Iraq’s bloodiest month in 5 years.

    And we went in there after non-existent WMD & in order to stop Saddam Hussein slaughtering his own people? Pure poppycock. We are being fed lies by our govts, (of every stripe), & Main Stream Media on a simply monstrous, industrial scale.

    http://www.thrivemovement.com

    For a look at the roots of the problems besetting our world. The problem first, The movie next.

    A real eye opener.

  • http://jdseanjd.wordpress.com jdseanjd

    Meanwhile, at home, the recent winter cold snap (UK has Europe’s worst winter pensioner death rates) saw over 5,000 extra pensioners die over & above the last 5 year average.

    This is good news for our govt, of course, 5,000 less pensions to pay, & the NHS is doing it’s bit, of course, killing off 1,200 people in Staffs with the low empathy concentration camp reject staff they’re now employing.

    Particularly useful, in fact, to our Ponzi scheme govts who have not saved a bean towards pensions payments, but is still paying them from current incomes in a shrinking economy.

    No heads rolling, & no extra winter fuel payments gives you all the clues you need to realise that this is deliberate & planned.

    If anyone still thinks the UK govt is not out to kill us, think again.

    SORRY, UK.

  • http://brobinsonblog.wordpress.com Brian the Rhetaur

    It makes a nice change when you leave the climate change scam for other matters sometimes. This, and yesterday’s Telegraph piece on Gove, were good stuff.
    Not that I mind when you throw slings and arrows at the ungodly warmists!

  • Simon Roberts

    You’ve listed eleven groups in the opposition movement and there may be more. This almost certainly means that, should the opposition win, the country will descend into factional warfare – at best leading to decades of violence and at worst leading to the break-up of Syria as a nation into a group of small regions ruled by warlords.

    This will certainly not benefit the people of Syria, so who will it benefit?

    Not the UK, as we have no direct interest in Syrian domestic politics.

    Not the USA, or at least not the people of the USA – although the destruction of Syria as a force in the region is in keeping with the aims of the Project for a New American Century.

    It seems that the only real beneficiary would be Israel, as it would lose another threat on its borders. While the individual Islamic groups may dislike Israel as much as Assad does, they are in much less of a position to do anything about it.

    Depending on our individual views of the world, we may or may not think that this is a good thing – but the UK and US governments should be honest about what they are trying to achieve. If they believe that a Syrian regime change is in the interests of an ally in the region then say so, don’t hide behind nonsense such as it being in the Syrian people’s interests.

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